NOM BLOG

NYT Blog: North Carolina’s Marriage Amendment "Appears Likely to Pass"

 

No reason to lessen our efforts, but reason to be encouraged, via Nate Silver's Five Thirty Eight blog at the New York Times:

"...The most recent poll was conducted by Civitas Institute, a conservative think tank whose poll results have generally shown little partisan bias in the past. That survey polled Democratic and Republican primary voters separately, but projected that the measure would win by 16 percentage points when it combined the results.

An April poll by Public Policy Polling, which conducts polling for Democratic clients but whose surveys also have a track record of nonpartisanship, had the measure prevailing by 14 points.

Both the Civitas and Public Policy Polling surveys directly read the text of the amendment to the voters they were polling. Conversely, some polls that described what the amendment would do but did not read the ballot language have sometimes showed it failing, often by clear margins."

4 Comments

  1. Bruce
    Posted May 7, 2012 at 2:39 pm | Permalink

    More from Nate Silver's referenced blog:

    "The Public Policy Polling survey found widespread voter confusion about what North Carolina’s Amendment 1 seeks to accomplish. Just 36 percent of voters answered correctly that it bans both same-sex marriage and domestic partnerships. An additional 26 percent thought it banned same-sex marriage alone. Meanwhile, 10 percent of voters thought a “yes” vote on the amendment would legalize rather than ban same-sex marriage, and 27 percent weren’t sure what it did."

    It's an understatement to say it's unfortunate that North Carolina voters are confused about exactly what this amendment does. NOM has been happy to let that confusion hang in the air at the same time it's criticized marriage equality supporters for deception in their ads.

  2. Lefty
    Posted May 7, 2012 at 3:24 pm | Permalink

    Not to nitpick, but the state outline in the graphic appears to be Georgia, rather than North Carolina.

  3. Thom
    Posted May 7, 2012 at 6:41 pm | Permalink

    They're not the brightest bulbs in the bunch, Lefty!

  4. Denver
    Posted May 7, 2012 at 10:27 pm | Permalink

    Not having the right state in the logo. Hmm I guess that bodes for the campaign as a whole. A complete sham to put discrimination onto the books for NC. congrats, I am sure that you will be satisfied and overjoyed. Just remember, those that throw stones...