A new NOM poll released by the Minnesota Family Policy Council shows that gay marriage could be the issue that swings the elections this fall in Minnesota. Here's the Star Tribune's story:

The Minnesota Family Council said a recent poll commissioned by same-sex marriage opponents shows that Emmer is the choice of 42 percent of likely voters and DFL candidate Mark Dayton wins 39 percent when the voters are told that Dayton supports same-sex marriage and Emmer does not.

Absent that information, the poll showed Dayton beating Emmer 42 percent to 33 percent.

Independence Party candidate Tom Horner won 9 percent of the vote when people were told that he supported same-sex marriage, and 12 percent when not told.

The poll, commissioned by the National Organization for Marriage and conducted by Lawrence Research in California, had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. The poll was based on 695 telephone interviews with likely voters, and the results were weighted by party preference and age.

When respondents also were told that Emmer favored allowing a vote on same-sex marriage, his margin over Dayton grew to 42-36.