NOM BLOG

NOM RELEASES "FLASH" SURVEY IN NY-9

 

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: September 14, 2011

Mary Beth Hutchins or Elizabeth Ray at 703-683-5004

WEPRIN VOTE FOR GAY MARRIAGE COST HIM SEAT IN CONGRESS

Washington –The National Organization for Marriage (NOM) today released a “flash” survey conducted yesterday among voters of New York’s 9th Congressional District which demonstrates that David Weprin’s support of same-sex marriage was a major factor in his loss to Republican Bob Turner.

“This survey demonstrates what many people have been saying for a long time – David Weprin’s vote in favor of same-sex marriage cost him election to the US House,” said Brian Brown, president of the National Organization for Marriage. “NOM funded a major independent expenditure campaign in this race and the survey shows that marriage was a major factor in the race and cost Weprin the election.” The election of Republican Bob Turner marks the first time this district has been represented by a Republican since the early 1920s.

The survey by QEV Analytics interviewed 251 actual or highly likely voters in the NY 9th Congressional District and concluded just as the polls closed last evening. It found the following:

Fifty percent (50%) of district voters believe that marriage should only be between one man and one woman; while only 38% of voters disagree (13% didn’t express an opinion). Marriage supporters include 88% of Orthodox Jews, 53% of Catholics and 47% of other Christians. There is a high correlation between a person’s position on marriage and their vote between Turner and Weprin. Those who agree marriage should only be between a man and a woman voted for Turner 81% - 19%. Turner won Orthodox Jews 91% - 9%; Catholics by 72%-28%; Other Christians 53% - 47%. Weprin won among non-Orthodox Jews 69% - 29%; among Other/None/DK 76%-24%.

Moreover, among those who agree with the traditional definition of marriage, 44% said Weprin’s position was a factor in their vote, while 29% of those who disagree said his position was a factor. Voters told the pollster that David Weprin’s position on same-sex marriage was a specific factor in the voting decision of 72% of Orthodox Jews, 29% of Other Jews, 27% of Catholics, 33% of Other Christians, 27% of other/None/DK.

[Update: View a PDF of the results here]

“When the New York legislature voted to redefine marriage, NOM vowed that we would hold those legislators accountable. This is what happened last night,” Brown said. “Legislators were sold a bill of goods when they were told by Andrew Cuomo, Michael Bloomberg and the Human Rights Campaign (HRC) that they could redefine marriage and suffer no political consequences. All you have to do is look at David Weprin’s shocking loss to Bob Turner to understand that voting for same-sex marriage has consequences. Weprin just lost one of the most Democratic Congressional seats in the country in large part because of his vote to redefine marriage. Cuomo, Bloomberg and the HRC couldn’t save him and neither will they be able to save other legislators when it comes time for them to face voters.”

QEV derived the survey sample from a random selection of registered voters in the district most likely to vote in a special election. They carefully monitored the age distribution of the obtained sample so that it matched the age distribution of those likely voters. They weighted the obtained results so that these precisely matched the actual vote result.

The survey sample was 13% Orthodox Jewish, 25% Other Jewish, 36% Catholic, 12% Other Christian, 14% Other Faiths + No Faith + No Response. The margin of sampling error for Orthodox Jews on the ballot question is +/- 10%, which means that actual result of the ballot question could theoretically be as close as 81% Turner/19% Weprin.

To schedule an interview with Brian Brown, President of the National Organization for Marriage, please contact Mary Beth Hutchins (x105), [email protected], or Elizabeth Ray (x130), [email protected], at 703-683-5004.

Paid for by the National Organization for Marriage, www.nationformarriage.org. Not authorized by any candidate or any candidate’s committee.

###

5 Comments

  1. Anonygrl
    Posted September 14, 2011 at 4:53 pm | Permalink

    Well, no. Informed opinion holds that Weprin's stance on Israel is more to blame, and that most voters did not care about the marriage equality issue in this election.

    Nice try, though.

  2. Mike Brooks
    Posted September 15, 2011 at 10:17 am | Permalink

    Deb - Weprin's vote on so-called "marriage" of homosexuals is ignored by the media because the media is so biased that it couldn't even fathom that voters do not want the definition of marriage changed.

    This NY district has voted Democrat for 90 years; during that time the economy has been up and down, and the US's Israel policy has waxed and waned. But this is the first time that homosexuals have ever been allowed to call themselves "married."

  3. Keith
    Posted September 15, 2011 at 10:43 am | Permalink

    I'm sure that this was the unspoken reason motivating much of the victory for Turner. It was the first significant vote since the legislative debacle in New York this summer, and it's very revealing the effect that was wrought.

    I expect more pro-perversion politicians to fall next year.

  4. Dan
    Posted September 15, 2011 at 10:47 am | Permalink

    Yeah, big surprise that "virtually none of the articles" you've read in the Lamestream Media "even mention marriage" as a factor in this upset.

  5. Dan
    Posted September 15, 2011 at 11:10 am | Permalink

    Since you wanted to see an article that does say "it was THE deciding factor", here's one from the Wall Street Journal that makes this very affirmation (within the headline no less!):

    http://blogs.wsj.com/metropolis/2011/09/14/behind-bob-turners-win-jewish-voters-opposed-to-gay-marriage/

    (Btw, NOM had already posted about this only a couple blog posts down from this one so you must not be looking very hard for such articles...)

One Trackback

  1. By Ruth Institute Blog » How Marriage Sunk David Weprin on September 16, 2011 at 2:45 pm

    [...] commissioned a “flash” survey on election day by QEV Analytics of voters in the 9th Congressional District that demonstrates how [...]