Matthew Franck on Michael Barone's False Reading of Marriage Polling


Plenty of people are raising eyebrows at Michael Barone's recent comments on the subject of same-sex marriage.

Michael Franck at First Thoughts clarifies the disparity, by pointing out that Barone's use of Gallup polling yields very different results (53% in favor of SSM) than the results found by Public Opinion Strategies (POS) -- only 35% in favor of SSM:

There is something plain-spoken and direct about the POS question, and something very useful about the follow-up on the intensity of opinion. Gallup’s question, on the other hand, is actually a bit ambiguous.

... And so the purported “shift” in opinion since 1996 may be, to a substantial but unknown degree, owing to this erosion into ambiguity of Gallup’s question. On the basic issue, the POS question is vastly superior for simplicity, clarity, directness, and a measurement of intensity. And the results at the real polls–the ones where people vote whether to defend marriage or not–bear out POS’s greater probability of accuracy. In 31 states, the people have gone to the polls and said yes to marriage and no to the destructive revolution represented by same-sex unions.

I’m with Maggie Gallagher, and I think we’re both with a clear majority of Americans. Marriage is between one man and one woman, and a presidential candidate who keeps saying that can only help himself.


  1. Randy E King
    Posted August 25, 2011 at 10:11 am | Permalink

    Remember; Kerry lost to Bush because of the Democrat push for same-gender marriage that exploded in San Francisco.

    When Obama goes down in 2012 I will be watching to see how long it will take the left-wing media whores to question if their loss was due in no small part to their blatant push for pervert marriage; it took them six years to contemplate that possibility in public the last time.

  2. catholicdad
    Posted August 25, 2011 at 12:10 pm | Permalink

    Polls are much easier to rig than elections. This is a foundational principle of pseudo-marriage political tactics.

  3. Badger
    Posted August 25, 2011 at 9:58 pm | Permalink

    The answer for the different results is very simple. The POS poll sponsored by the ADF did not use a poll sample that represented the demographics of the country. The massively over-polled the over 50 age group and under polled in the 18-29 age group.