NOM BLOG

New Quinnipiac Poll: Majority Does NOT Support SSM

 

The latest Quinnipiac poll:

Would you support or oppose a law in your state that would allow same-sex couples to get married?
Oppose: 48%
Support: 46%
Don't Know/NA: 6%

Among Republicans:
Oppose: 72%
Support: 24%
Don't Know/NA: 4%

17 Comments

  1. Barry
    Posted July 20, 2011 at 12:41 pm | Permalink

    The same poll also shows a plurality of respondents oppose DOMA. These are also the same pollsters who just released a poll last month showing that New York voters support same-sex marriage 54% to 40% opposed. Thanks NOM!

  2. Barry
    Posted July 20, 2011 at 12:44 pm | Permalink

    Oh, and also the poll shows that the new 46-48 number is up from 2009 when it was 38-55.

  3. Barb
    Posted July 20, 2011 at 1:04 pm | Permalink

    I can't tell if this was an automated poll - makes a big difference.

  4. Ken
    Posted July 20, 2011 at 1:40 pm | Permalink

    Barb - What exactly is the difference - that 36 is
    accurate while 37 and 38 should be ignored?

  5. Barb
    Posted July 20, 2011 at 1:59 pm | Permalink

    Just a simple inquiry - folks give different answers to a machine than they do to a person.

  6. joe
    Posted July 20, 2011 at 2:58 pm | Permalink

    Barry, your point being?

  7. Barry
    Posted July 20, 2011 at 3:32 pm | Permalink

    My point is that NOM is implying that Quinnipiac is a reputable polling agency whose results we should accept. Therefore, NOM is also suggesting that their other results, such as that New Yorkers support marriage 54-40, and that a majority of Americans oppose DOMA (from the same poll), should be accepted as fact as well.

  8. Little man
    Posted July 20, 2011 at 3:40 pm | Permalink

    Funny, because there's a category missing in this statistical poll: The "I don't care" category.

    I don't know if the survey was of "voters" or what, but people who are not well informed about current politics, and therefore the consequences of family issues, will likely vote "Don't oppose same-sex marriage" - because they don't care. That's what's affecting this poll.

  9. Little man
    Posted July 20, 2011 at 3:54 pm | Permalink

    A poll is a "prediction". This poll stands on its merits, and if it contrasts with other (more local) polls, predictions are often in error. It simply shows that polls vary in quality, and have a margin of error (which is not reported in the official link to this poll.) A look at the details shows some of the conclusions reached in the summary are unfounded.

  10. Little man
    Posted July 20, 2011 at 4:00 pm | Permalink

    Barry:
    How do you know a "reputable" polling agency? And why do you call it an agency? It's just part of a university with a weird name. And this poll is national, or an attempt with that scope. It simply reflects the responses of Democrats and Republicans, which we already know are split. Look at the detailed data, and you'll see how the blame on Bush (Obama's pedantic excuse) is not based on the data.

  11. John Noe
    Posted July 20, 2011 at 6:30 pm | Permalink

    That is why NOM supports the only poll that really counts, the voting booth. All these polls showing support for SSM will come crashing down on election day 2012 when Minnesota and North Carolina enact their marriage amendments.

  12. Lefty
    Posted July 20, 2011 at 9:00 pm | Permalink

    There's only one poll that matters. First Tuesday in November.

  13. Badger
    Posted July 20, 2011 at 10:10 pm | Permalink

    If the question is expanded to ask whether respondents think that there should be some sort of civil recognition of gay relationships, poll after poll has shown a large majority agree.

  14. Adam
    Posted July 21, 2011 at 12:29 am | Permalink

    With as quick;y as polls are moving towards marriage equality, I can't wait for the people to vote! First, it was the courts. And NOM lost there. Then, it was the Presidency. NOM lost there. Now that you are beginning to lose legislatures, where will you turn when the people vote and you lose there?

  15. Ken
    Posted July 21, 2011 at 10:23 am | Permalink

    Thank you for pointing us to a poll showing that a majority supports the repeal of DOMA in its entirety (sections 2 and 3, questions 37 and 38 respectively).

  16. AnonyGrl
    Posted July 21, 2011 at 11:30 am | Permalink

    Across the boards it looks like Catholics are supporting same sex marriage in their states at 56% in support, and supporting the repeal of DOMA, 50% against states not recognizing marriages from other states, and a whopping 64% against the denial of federal benefits to same sex couples.

    Losing your base, there, NOM?

  17. Sam Jones
    Posted July 23, 2011 at 11:01 am | Permalink

    Anyone who trusts polls is a fool. Have you forgotten that the polls showed majority support for SS"M" in California and Maine before it was defeated by referendum?